“The longest bull market run in history is coming to an end in 2019, according to the pros who handle Wall Street’s big-money clientele. A survey of institutional investors show that 65 percent see a change coming, with the biggest threats being geopolitical tensions and rising interest rates, according to Natixis, which surveyed 500 managers of pension funds, endowments, foundations and the like. In addition to seeing the bull market stopping, they also anticipate the next financial crisis coming in one to five years….Institutional investors have been preparing for the end of the bull market for several years, David Goodsell, executive director of the Natixis Center for Investor Insight, said in an interview. ‘The market is catching up to what they’ve been thinking about. I think they’ve been positioned for this for quite a while,’ he said….’With wildcards everywhere (trade, geopolitics, deficits, protectionism), we have decided to focus on the macro scenarios that seem most likely and most relevant for equity market performance: (1) more Fed tightening, and (2) an upward bias to volatility,’ Savita Subramanian, BofAML’s equity and quant strategist, said in a research note.”
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