Note: Week 41 for 2017 begins NEXT WEEK on Monday, October 9 and ends Friday, October 13

 

NATURAL GAS: Seasonal price movements for Week 41 from 1991 – 2016 are as follows:

 

  • Prices Rising: 62%
  • Prices Falling: 38%
  • Average Price Rise: 4.73%
  • Largest Price Rise: 10.56%
  • Average Price Decline: -4.47%
  • Largest Price Decline: -11.95%

 

RBOB GASOLINE: Seasonal price movements for Week 41 from 2006-2016 are as follows:
  • Prices Rising: 45%
  • Prices Falling: 55%
  • Average Price Rise: 4.73%
  • Largest Price Rise: 11.95%
  • Average Price Decline: -3.36%
  • Largest Price Decline: -7.80%

 

CRUDE OIL: Seasonal price movements for Week 41 from 1984-2016 are as follows:
  • Prices Rising: 52%
  • Prices Falling: 48%
  • Average Price Rise: 5.18%
  • Largest Price Rise: 15.30%
  • Average Price Decline: -3.97%
  • Largest Price Decline: -14.87%

This is strictly a historical record and interpretation of price movements. It may be relevant to certain market participants who find such information useful as a supplement to their market analysis. In no way should this information be read as a predictive indicator, and by no means does this information imply consistency despite its recording of price movements that may appear consistent.

When viewing historical patterns, you may want to comparatively analyze the data across a larger context of interpretive measures. It is also important to consider the figures (e.g. the percentage of rising vs. falling prices) in relation to one another (e.g. the average rise and fall of prices).

The larger the data set, the smaller the differences between polarities (e.g. rise vs. fall, increase vs. decrease). When you come across a week that shows a significant difference in relation to other weeks, the statistical significance of the figures and its interpretation is to be determined solely by your analysis and judgment.


Risk Disclosure

This presentation is solely for educational purposes. As a seasonality study, it is strictly a historical presentation of data that has been compiled with the aim of achieving a representation that is as accurate as possible. Even then, we cannot claim that all of the information is completely devoid of human error during the compilation or calculation process. This presentation is not a trade recommendation, nor does it recommend any trading method. It is strictly a historical report. Past performance does not necessarily indicate future results.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and Forex involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment and only risk capital should be used. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. The lower the margin used the higher the leverage and therefore increases your risk. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.